Ezigabeni ezintathu zokuqala, umnotho omkhulu wasekhaya ubusebenza kahle, hhayi nje ukufeza umgomo wokufika endaweni ethambile, kodwa futhi nokugcina inqubomgomo yezimali ephusile kanye nokusebenzisa zonke izinqubomgomo zokulungiswa kwesakhiwo, izinga lokukhula kwe-GDP liye lasimama kancane. . Idatha ibonisa ukuthi ngo-Agasti 2017, inani elingeziwe lezimboni ngaphezu kwesilinganiso likhuphuke ngo-6.0% unyaka nonyaka, futhi kusukela ngoJanuwari kuya ku-August, inani elingeziwe lezimboni ezingaphezu kwesikali likhuphuke ngo-6.7% unyaka nonyaka. Ngokuvamile, izinga lokukhula kokukhiqizwa komkhakha wokukhiqiza amandla aphezulu liye lehla, kodwa imboni yobuchwepheshe obuphezulu kanye nemboni yokukhiqiza imishini igcina izinga lokukhula okusheshayo, futhi ukutshalwa kwezimali okufanelekile nakho kusheshisa ukugeleza ezimbonini ezisafufusa. Izinga lokukhula lokutshalwa kwezimali ekusunguleni nasekusunguleni liqhubekile nokukhula, ngoguquko nokuthuthukiswa kwezimboni, umnotho waseShayina usheshise uguquko lwamandla amasha namasha e-kinetic.

Embonini yamakhemikhali, izinyathelo ezithile zenqubomgomo yokuqondisa ukuvikelwa kwemvelo zisetshenziswa ngokugcwele, futhi amandla okubuyela emuva asulwa ngokugcwele, futhi ukuchuma kwezinye izimboni sekubuye kwasimama. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukukhula kwesidingo emikhakheni esafufusa kusobala. Engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka, ngenxa yokulungiswa okuqhubekayo kwamandla ezimboni, izinga lokuqala kanye nenani, inzuzo yamabhizinisi iye yenziwa ngcono ngokuqhubekayo. Engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka, uhlelo lwabamnyama luyamukelwa Imakethe yezinkunzi edalwe yimikhiqizo imelela ukuthuthukiswa okuphelele kokusebenza kwebhizinisi ukuze kuzuze isimo esihle embonini ngokushintsha kokulahlekelwa okuhlangene kanye nokusekelwa komjikelezo we-inventory.

Kodwa-ke, ukungena enkathini yokuphakama kwesidingo esivamile semboni yamakhemikhali ye-jinjiuyin 10, inkambiso yemakethe ayigculisi. Ngenxa yokuntuleka kokugqama okusobala ekukhuleni kwesidingo sasekhaya, isivunguvungu senqubomgomo yokuvikelwa kwemvelo siphansi, futhi izinga lokuqala kwezinye izimboni liye lasimama kancane kancane futhi liye laba sezingeni eliphezulu eminyakeni edlule. Nokho, akukho ukwanda okuphawulekayo kokusetshenziswa kwangempela. Ngakho-ke, imikhiqizo emnyama iyona yokuqala ehamba phambili emakethe ye-plunge, kodwa imboni ivuliwe Izinga lomsebenzi lisephezulu, futhi kungenzeka ukuthi iphinde ingene emjikelezweni wokukhipha i-inventory. Ngakho-ke, ukushisa ngokweqile kwezinye izimboni engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka kuzophinde kulungiswe ngemva kokungena kwikota yesine, okungahambisani nokucaca kwamandla okukhiqiza ahlehlayo, futhi kungenzeka ukuthi imiphumela yesigaba sokuhlinzeka ohlangothini lwesakhiwo. ukulungiswa kuzohluleka. Ngakho-ke, imboni yamakhemikhali engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka isesiteji "sokupholisa". Ibhamuza lazo zonke izinhlobo zokuqagela "komqondo" lizogaywa yimakethe ngokwayo.

Ngokwemvelo yangaphandle, ukwehla kwezinga le-US kulindeleke ukuthi kuqhubeke kuqina, kodwa umfutho wangempela wokuvuselela umnotho usebuthakathaka, ubungozi bomthelela kwezomnotho osafufusa busasekhona, nezinye izindawo ezinkulu zokuhwebelana namazwe angaphandle njengeYurophu zibhekene nokuphuma kokunciphisa imali. umjikelezo, kanye nokusabalala kwezithiyo zokuvikeleka kwezohwebo emkhakheni wembulunga yonke kuzoqhubeka nokucindezela isimo sasekhaya nesangaphandle, futhi izinga lokukhula kulindeleke ukuthi liqhubeke nokwehla ngekota yesine.

Ngakho-ke, izinga lokukhula kwe-macroeconomic yasekhaya lizoqhubeka nokusebenza ngaphansi kohlobo lwe-L engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka, kuyilapho izindawo ezisafufusa azanele ukusekela isidingo esisebenzayo sokuthatha ingxenye enkulu. Ukungalingani kwesakhiwo sesizinda sendabuko kunzima ukuhlehliswa ngempumelelo esikhathini esifushane. Umjikelezo wokupholisa usuwonke wezimboni ezithile embonini yamakhemikhali uzoba kumjikelezo wokupholisa, ozothinta idatha yenani elingeziwe lemboni cishe lizoba buthakathaka. Ngaphandle kwezimpawu ezintsha zamandla e-kinetic nokukhula kokusetshenziswa, izinga lokukhula lokutshalwa kwezimali embonini yamakhemikhali lizoqhubeka nokwehla futhi kungenzeka liqhubeke nokukhula kabi. Ngekota yesine, kulindeleke ukuthi ukugxilwa kwemakethe kwemikhiqizo yamakhemikhali kuzofuna ukusekelwa okuphansi, futhi kungenzeka ukuthi uhlelo lwabamnyama luzoba ngowokuqala, futhi isikhathi sokugcina sonke kulindeleke ukuba sibe side kakhulu, umjikelezo olindelekile webhizinisi. izinzuzo embonini zizokwehla ngezikhathi ezithile, futhi ibhamuza lentengo kwezinye izimboni lizoba yigwebu Legwebu futhi isikhala senzuzo ephezulu yamanga sizoba yimbuyiselo enengqondo, futhi sicindezelwe ngempumelelo.